Lots of shuffling this week. As expected.

1. Duke Blue Devils (2-0)
2. Illinois Fighting Illini (2-0)
3. Florida Gators (2-0)
4. UConn Huskies (2-0)
5. Virginia Cavaliers (3-0)
6. Houston Cougars (2-0)
7. Michigan State Spartans (2-0)
8. St. John's Red Storm (2-0)
9. UCLA Bruins (2-0)
10. Arizona Wildcats (1-1)
11. Gonzaga Bulldogs (2-0)
12. Texas Longhorns (2-0)
13. Tennessee Volunteers (1-0)
14. Louisville Cardinals (2-0)
15. Michigan Wolverines (1-1)
16. Alabama Crimson Tide (2-0)
17. Vanderbilt Commodores (2-0)
18. Kansas Jayhawks (2-0)
19. Arkansas Razorbacks (1-1)
20. Nebraska Cornhuskers (2-0)
21. Texas Tech Red Raiders (2-0)
22. Miami Hurricanes (1-1)
23. Iowa State Cyclones (1-1)
24. Marquette Golden Eagles (2-0)
25. BYU Cougars (2-0)
26. North Carolina Tar Heels (2-0)
27. Kentucky Wildcats (2-0)
28. Texas A&M Aggies (2-0)
29. Saint Louis Billikens (2-0)
30. Baylor Bears (2-0)

After one week, there are 137 undefeated teams in MCBB. That's still a bit much to show the entire list. Maybe next week.

For now, here are the teams that currently have at least a 0.1% chance of finishing the regular season undefeated:

• #5 Houston Cougars (2-0) 2.8%
• #1 Duke Blue Devils (2-0) 1.7%
• #2 Illinois Fighting Illini (2-0) 1%
• #8 Florida Gators (2-0) 0.3%
• #10 UCLA Bruins (2-0) 0.2%
• #68 Nevada Wolf Pack (2-0) 0.2%
• #4 St. John's Red Storm (2-0) 0.1%
• #9 Vanderbilt Commodores (2-0) 0.1%
• #12 TCU Horned Frogs (2-0) 0.1%
• #56 Akron Zips (1-0) 0.1%
• #72 Wright State Raiders (2-0) 0.1%
• #89 Furman Paladins (3-0) 0.1%

Solid Verbal Top 12

1. Georgia Bulldogs (8-1)
2. Utah Utes (9-0)
3. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (8-1)
4. UCLA Bruins (9-0)
5. Miami Hurricanes (8-1)
6. Alabama Crimson Tide (7-2)
7. Texas Longhorns (7-2)
8. Indiana Hoosiers (8-1)
9. Tennessee Volunteers (7-2)
10. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (8-1)
11. Kentucky Wildcats (7-2)
12. Texas Tech Red Raiders (8-1)

and the rest:

13. BYU Cougars (7-2)
14. Houston Cougars (7-2)
15. Boise State Broncos (8-1)
16. Iowa Hawkeyes (7-2)
17. USC Trojans (7-2)
18. Oregon Ducks (6-3)
19. Ole Miss Rebels (6-3)
20. Ohio State Buckeyes (6-3)
21. LSU Tigers (6-3)
22. Arizona Wildcats (7-2)
23. South Carolina Gamecocks (6-3)
24. New Mexico Lobos (8-1)
25. Missouri Tigers (6-3)
26. Oklahoma State Cowboys (6-3)
27. SMU Mustangs (7-2)
28. Louisville Cardinals (6-3)
29. Liberty Flames (8-1)
30. North Texas Mean Green (7-2)

I really wanted to put Utah at #1. I just couldn't. Maybe next week if they beat Arizona.

The Buckeyes are in free fall. They could lose all three of their remaining games. It's time for them to start thinking about next year.

The Hurricanes fell to the Irish and the Lumberjacks dropped one to the Lamar Cardinals. That leaves three undefeated D-I teams in the CFB.

• #46 Tarleton State Texans (10-0) 49.9%
• #4 UCLA Bruins (9-0) 39.7%
• #1 Utah Utes (9-0) 39.3%

Tarleton State is basically 50/50 to finish the regular season undefeated. And the Bruins and Utes are essentially 2 in 5.

UCLA was picked by the Big Ten beat writers to finish 13th in the Big Ten this year. They are three games away from an undefeated season.

The UCLA Bruins are now 8-0, and the computer has them favored in all the rest of their games. Could the Bruins win the Big Ten and go 12-0?

Very possible.

Undefeated chances as of this morning:

• #55 Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (9-0) 51%
• #4 UCLA Bruins (8-0) 50.8%
• #49 Tarleton State Texans (9-0) 37.6%
• #2 Utah Utes (8-0) 16.6%
• #6 Miami Hurricanes (8-0) 11.7%

The Hurricanes chances improve dramatically if they win this week @ Notre Dame.

UPDATE: There was a bug in my ratings. The corrected undefeated chances are:

• #56 Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (9-0) 63.5%
• #1 Utah Utes (8-0) 34%
• #82 Tarleton State Texans (9-0) 28.5%
• #7 UCLA Bruins (8-0) 25.3%
• #2 Miami Hurricanes (8-0) 21.2%

The Bruins aren't nearly as likely to go 12-0 with the correction.

CJB Ratings, AKA Sports Ratings III, is a data-driven analytics platform designed to evaluate teams, project future performance, and provide transparent, reproducible rating systems across multiple sports. We currently do three sports:

• NCAA FBS College Football
• NCAA Division I Men's College Basketball
• NFL football

Watch this space for more information about what's available and what's coming!